MaliMate Posted July 21, 2015 Author Report Share Posted July 21, 2015 Had $10 on 5 different golfers at the British Open.Had Louis Oosthuiszen who lost in a playoff. But, also had Zach Johnson who won. $140 on Betfair. Turned $50 into $1332 after paying commission.Had Spieth & Johnson (y) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tesla Posted July 21, 2015 Report Share Posted July 21, 2015 (edited) So been trying to find a way of basically finding odds that are going to shorten so I'm ending up getting over the odds, because if I can get over the odds significantly enough (has to be a fair bit over given how high the margin is on horse racing) then I'm going to profit on average without even trying to pick a winner.I've come up with a few different systems, they mostly seem ok but not good enough, but this one I tried today looks promising.Bet on the first 4 races at Dubbo today, won all 4 but that's probably just luck, the important thing is the odds I got.Race 1 = SP = 1.50, Top Tote = 1.70, Tesla Odds = $3.01. Tesla odds = Top Tote + 187%Race 2 - SP = 3.60, Top Tote = 4.00, Tesla Odds = 4.8. Tesla odds = Top Tote + 27%Race 3 - SP =3.20, Top Tote = 3.70, Tesla odds = 4.40. Tesla odds = Top Tote + 26%Race 4 - SP = 3.50, Top Tote = 3.50, Tesla odds = 5.72. Tesla Odds = top tote + 89%I also bet on 2 races at Pakenham, lost both of those but one did end up shorter like the above but the other actually went the other way, which is going to happen can't have a 100% accurate system.Will see if this continues, maybe give it a go again in a couple of days.Going to end up getting banned for this as getting in on higher odds before they shorten consistently is the quickest way of getting banned from what i've heard, and it makes sense. Not doing this on any of the sites with good promos so I dont care if I get banned anyway. Edited July 21, 2015 by Tesla Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HeartinHobart Posted July 21, 2015 Report Share Posted July 21, 2015 So been trying to find a way of basically finding odds that are going to shorten so I'm ending up getting over the odds, because if I can get over the odds significantly enough (has to be a fair bit over given how high the margin is on horse racing) then I'm going to profit on average without even trying to pick a winner.I've come up with a few different systems, they mostly seem ok but not good enough, but this one I tried today looks promising.Bet on the first 4 races at Dubbo today, won all 4 but that's probably just luck, the important thing is the odds I got.Race 1 = SP = 1.50, Top Tote = 1.70, Tesla Odds = $3.01. Tesla odds = Top Tote + 187%Race 2 - SP = 3.60, Top Tote = 4.00, Tesla Odds = 4.8. Tesla odds = Top Tote + 27%Race 3 - SP =3.20, Top Tote = 3.70, Tesla odds = 4.40. Tesla odds = Top Tote + 26%Race 4 - SP = 3.50, Top Tote = 3.50, Tesla odds = 5.72. Tesla Odds = top tote + 89%I also bet on 2 races at Pakenham, lost both of those but one did end up shorter like the above but the other actually went the other way, which is going to happen can't have a 100% accurate system.Will see if this continues, maybe give it a go again in a couple of days.Going to end up getting banned for this as getting in on higher odds before they shorten consistently is the quickest way of getting banned from what i've heard, and it makes sense. Not doing this on any of the sites with good promos so I dont care if I get banned anyway. im presuming your not given anything away about your system? Who are you betting with? With precise odds like $3.01 and $5.72 im presuming betfair? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tesla Posted July 21, 2015 Report Share Posted July 21, 2015 im presuming your not given anything away about your system? Who are you betting with? With precise odds like $3.01 and $5.72 im presuming betfair?Those two were affected by deductions (due to scratchings), that's why they are a strange number. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HeartinHobart Posted July 21, 2015 Report Share Posted July 21, 2015 Those two were affected by deductions (due to scratchings), that's why they are a strange number.Well id back myself to advise if your system has any merit more then most. Really 99.9% of systems are flawed. Curious to know how you gor better then $3 on a horse that had a top fluc of $2 as in race 1. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tesla Posted July 21, 2015 Report Share Posted July 21, 2015 (edited) Well id back myself to advise if your system has any merit more then most. Really 99.9% of systems are flawed. Curious to know how you gor better then $3 on a horse that had a top fluc of $2 as in race 1.PM incoming Edited July 21, 2015 by Tesla Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tesla Posted July 21, 2015 Report Share Posted July 21, 2015 Ffs hate when late goals fuck my correct score bet up. Will collect another refund from sportsbet though for being off by only 1 goal. Double annoying cause I wanted to get on the WH 4 or more goals promo but I left it too late it was finished when I checked for it before kick off. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AaronAV11 Posted July 21, 2015 Report Share Posted July 21, 2015 Not sure if it's been mentioned before, but when you sign up for Ladbrokes you get a free bet up to $100 as they match your first bet. Are you allowed to put two separate bets on the same match? For example gws vs geelong this week, gws are about $1.80 and geelong are $2. If I put my first bet of $100 on gws, they give me a $100 free bet so if I put that on geelong, I've got 100 on both but only spending 100 of my money. So if Geelong win I make $100 and if gws win I make $80. Would this work? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tesla Posted July 21, 2015 Report Share Posted July 21, 2015 Not sure if it's been mentioned before, but when you sign up for Ladbrokes you get a free bet up to $100 as they match your first bet. Are you allowed to put two separate bets on the same match? For example gws vs geelong this week, gws are about $1.80 and geelong are $2. If I put my first bet of $100 on gws, they give me a $100 free bet so if I put that on geelong, I've got 100 on both but only spending 100 of my money. So if Geelong win I make $100 and if gws win I make $80. Would this work?It will be in the terms and conditions that you aren't allowed to use the free bet to facilitate an arbitrage whereby you profit in every scenario. So to answer your question, no you can't do that.if the issue is that you don't want to bet $100 on one thing, and you haven't signed up already, if I refer you then the signup offer is better, they match your first deposit rather than first bet, and it's up to $300 as well I think, so you don't need to bet $100 on any one thing, can just deposit $x and then bet like $20 on a bunch of things or w/e you want to do instead of risking it on one bet. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AaronAV11 Posted July 21, 2015 Report Share Posted July 21, 2015 It will be in the terms and conditions that you aren't allowed to use the free bet to facilitate an arbitrage whereby you profit in every scenario. So to answer your question, no you can't do that.if the issue is that you don't want to bet $100 on one thing, and you haven't signed up already, if I refer you then the signup offer is better, they match your first deposit rather than first bet, and it's up to $300 as well I think, so you don't need to bet $100 on any one thing, can just deposit $x and then bet like $20 on a bunch of things or w/e you want to do instead of risking it on one bet. Oh okay thanks, and nah it's alright I already signed up I was just wondering if it would work so then I would make a new account and make an easy profit Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tesla Posted July 21, 2015 Report Share Posted July 21, 2015 (edited) Oh okay thanks, and nah it's alright I already signed up I was just wondering if it would work so then I would make a new account and make an easy profitNothing stopping you arbitraging the first bet somewhere else. Eg bet $100 at Ladbrokes on one outcome, and then bet on the other outcome somewhere else. Will probably only cost you a few dollars and then you get a $100 bonus bet. You can also arbitrage the bonus bet and should be able to make at least $60 from it.But that's no fun btw your first post was wrong, you would make $80 if Geelong win and break even if GWS win. you don't get your stake back with a freebet. So you spend $100, get $180 if Geelong win ($80 profit), but only $100 if GWS win ($0 profit). Edited July 21, 2015 by Tesla 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pattyd89 Posted July 24, 2015 Report Share Posted July 24, 2015 Anything worth betting on this weekend sports wise? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jimmy Posted July 24, 2015 Report Share Posted July 24, 2015 I think there's a lot of value in the AFL this round. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tesla Posted July 24, 2015 Report Share Posted July 24, 2015 So many promos raped tonight$2 for Hawthorn$3 for Hawthorn to win by 60$2 for Sydney & Brisbane to win in NRL$4.50 for 4 goals or more in Real vs City Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hedaik Posted July 24, 2015 Report Share Posted July 24, 2015 So many promos raped tonight$2 for Hawthorn$3 for Hawthorn to win by 60$2 for Sydney & Brisbane to win in NRL$4.50 for 4 goals or more in Real vs CityYep been an awesome night. I assume you also got on the Hawthorn 60+ at both TW and CB Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tesla Posted July 24, 2015 Report Share Posted July 24, 2015 Yep been an awesome night. I assume you also got on the Hawthorn 60+ at both TW and CBYeah the NRL one was at both as well. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tesla Posted July 24, 2015 Report Share Posted July 24, 2015 (edited) Also saw I had a random $5 bonus bet at centrebet, put it on an $11 horse in the UK and easy $50.So getting banned across the William Hill websites soon, from promotions at least. Edited July 24, 2015 by Tesla Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thrillhouse Posted July 25, 2015 Report Share Posted July 25, 2015 ffs william hill had south sydney at $2 premium price and have taken it down already cause the "capacity" is full Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tesla Posted July 25, 2015 Report Share Posted July 25, 2015 ffs william hill had south sydney at $2 premium price and have taken it down already cause the "capacity" is full Should have got on it last night like I did Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tesla Posted July 30, 2015 Report Share Posted July 30, 2015 Interesting reading about sportsbet paying out Hawthorn early for the premiership. The largest bet was 34k at the current odds of $2.10. Clearly someone got wind of the early payout? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thrillhouse Posted July 30, 2015 Report Share Posted July 30, 2015 (edited) @Tesla Are you doing the william hill friday night click to call money back promo?storm look like the best choice Edited July 30, 2015 by Thrillhouse Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaliMate Posted July 30, 2015 Author Report Share Posted July 30, 2015 Just started using 365 again. hands down most addictive sports betting site of all time. Lost close to $100 this week from being a degenerate cunt. They've lobbed me 3 free bets already which I've pissed away.dem live system multis through click to call but. Shits like heroin for me. And the ability to cash out a % of your bet rather than the whole thing is mint. I recommend 365 but not if your an impulsive type like myself. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hedaik Posted July 30, 2015 Report Share Posted July 30, 2015 @Tesla Are you doing the william hill friday night click to call money back promo?storm look like the best choice Id prefer to use the bet for something paying in the vicinity of $2 to make it worthwhile, problem with the AFL game tonight is that I have no idea what Richmond are going to produce. They've been playing a scrappy defensive game lately, but I don't think thats going to work against Hawthorn....however on the other hand Richmond have a good history of beating Hawthorn and I also think after a run of good games Hawks are due for a tough game. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HeartinHobart Posted July 30, 2015 Report Share Posted July 30, 2015 Got a $200 free bet that il be putting on Adelaide to beat Sydney tomorrow @ $3. Really think the swans are struggling atm. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tesla Posted July 30, 2015 Report Share Posted July 30, 2015 Got a $200 free bet that il be putting on Adelaide to beat Sydney tomorrow @ $3. Really think the swans are struggling atm.While on the topic of freebets and $3 odds.protip: never use a bonus bet on less than $3 odds.cbf explaining why now, but just trust me guys Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaliMate Posted July 30, 2015 Author Report Share Posted July 30, 2015 Got a $200 free bet that il be putting on Adelaide to beat Sydney tomorrow @ $3. Really think the swans are struggling atm.Betting against Buddy in Sydney, thanks but no thanks. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HeartinHobart Posted July 31, 2015 Report Share Posted July 31, 2015 Personally think you have to go back to round 11 since Sydney have played a good match. 6 day break back from Perth and Crows have won 4 of their last 5 at the SCG. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hedaik Posted July 31, 2015 Report Share Posted July 31, 2015 (edited) @Tesla Are you doing the william hill friday night click to call money back promo?storm look like the best choice Its for your first losing bet, better of making a lot of short term bets until you lose rather than just 1, which is going to be a pain in the arse for me as I'll be at the MCG tonight. edit: apparently the above is not the case Edited July 31, 2015 by hedaik Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tesla Posted July 31, 2015 Report Share Posted July 31, 2015 Holy shit, new crownbet app update has live AFL streaming.James Packer doesn't fuck around. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
thisphantomfortress Posted July 31, 2015 Report Share Posted July 31, 2015 Holy shit, new crownbet app update has live AFL streaming.James Packer doesn't fuck around.The dude is a serious businessman.TTDIM: the packer family Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tesla Posted July 31, 2015 Report Share Posted July 31, 2015 FFS had my WH live bet, last score of first quater - richmond goal - $4. Was travelling nicely until that after the siren shit fucking hell. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thrillhouse Posted July 31, 2015 Report Share Posted July 31, 2015 fuck me storms shit, hawks need to lift too Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hedaik Posted July 31, 2015 Report Share Posted July 31, 2015 (edited) I tried to put my click to call bet on Richmond for first goal but reception was fucked at the ground and couldn't do it in time.Ended up doing hawthorn last score of 1st qtr but lost. Still made money from hedging my Ladbrokes net though . Edited July 31, 2015 by hedaik Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tesla Posted July 31, 2015 Report Share Posted July 31, 2015 Got my refund and ended up getting a bonus bet too.Lost the bonus bet anyway. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hedaik Posted July 31, 2015 Report Share Posted July 31, 2015 (edited) Got my refund and ended up getting a bonus bet too.Lost the bonus bet anyway.Hah sick just noticed a bonus bet as well. edit: 17 mins til next greyhound race...will just use it tomorrow instead. edit edit: Decided to put it all on #3 Mandurah Race 11edit edit edit: fuckin dog cunt Edited July 31, 2015 by hedaik Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thrillhouse Posted July 31, 2015 Report Share Posted July 31, 2015 haven't got a bonus bet, did it say what is was for? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tesla Posted August 2, 2015 Report Share Posted August 2, 2015 The dude is a serious businessman.TTDIM: the packer familyI think Tripp still runs the show, Tripp + the resources of Crown/Packer and this is what happens.Good to see, they are the only serious Australian owned operator.I also have a soft spot for them for all the money they have given me, I'm confident I have won the most at beteasy/crownbet out of all the others Plus they have the best app and close to the best site. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaliMate Posted August 2, 2015 Author Report Share Posted August 2, 2015 I think Tripp still runs the show, Tripp + the resources of Crown/Packer and this is what happens.Good to see, they are the only serious Australian owned operator.I also have a soft spot for them for all the money they have given me, I'm confident I have won the most at beteasy/crownbet out of all the others Plus they have the best app and close to the best site.Don't understand what you like about their app. 365, Sportsbet, WH Ladbrokes. & even TAB are better IMO. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tesla Posted August 4, 2015 Report Share Posted August 4, 2015 (edited) Finally CrownBet card The sexy baller black colour will only further the gambling CEO feeling that the other cards give when using them.\Seems to be the best one feature wise as well, I don't think the Ladbrokes one lets you use it like a credit card (to buy things online, but more importantly to deposit straight into another bookmaker ), AFAIK the 'credit' features are limited to using paywave. Don't understand what you like about their app. 365, Sportsbet, WH Ladbrokes. & even TAB are better IMO.Best in terms of design if you ask me (both visual design and UI/UX design).Not sure what you like so much about the others?Don't have the 365 app, that may be better. Edited August 4, 2015 by Tesla Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaliMate Posted August 4, 2015 Author Report Share Posted August 4, 2015 Rapid Vienna $4.25 to win the Austrian Bundesliga. Will be $2 by Christmas IMO, Fuck this most recent forum update, feels so ugly & clunky compared to previously. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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