Tesla Posted June 28, 2015 Report Share Posted June 28, 2015 Much chance of anyone outside of Djokovic, Murray, and Federer winning Wimbeldon?wawrinka would have to be in with a chanceFactored him in. Haven't factored in Nadal, he is paying $23 so it wouldn't cost much, but he can go fuck himself he ain't winning shit I hope. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaliMate Posted June 28, 2015 Author Report Share Posted June 28, 2015 Had a wild ride this weekend. Went way down yesterday and Friday on the footy & Copa America, then somehow crawled by way back to even in the last 16 hours starting from the Saints-Dogs game. Thank god for the darts, went 6-0 last night in line bets, and had a cheeky bit on Paraguay to qualify vs Brazil this morning. just backed England in the women's World Cup as well, 2 goals as I write this post. Mint.Answer my above question about Wimbeldon ya cuntDjokers to lose, Murray the only real threat IMO. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tesla Posted June 29, 2015 Report Share Posted June 29, 2015 Wouldn't mind placing some bets for lols on some Wimbeldon matches.Looking at the offers, Ladbrokes are just doing a 'MegaMulti', looked at it and it's shit. If you put together the same mutli at sportsbet, yeah against standard odds the Ladbrokes MegaMulti is better, but sportsbet are doin g 20% bonus on multis and so you'd be better off doing the same multi at sportsbet, but of course you can do any multi you like at sportsbet so definitely the far superior offer.WH have cash back if your player wins the first set and then loses, not bad but I'm guessing that doesn't happen much does it?Crownbet have bonus bet if your multi loses by 1 leg, not bad would definitely take it up if it was cash back, but probably not for a bonus bet.Anything else on? Overall pretty average offers I think. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tesla Posted June 29, 2015 Report Share Posted June 29, 2015 Interesting to learn different bookmakers have different rules regarding tennis retirements, sportsbet and WH will void the bet, while unibet will pay out the winner if a set has been completed.Bit annoying when you were going to win and it gets voided TBH, I understand it's shit if your player retires and you lose a bet but I sitll think it should stand. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wfc_10 Posted June 29, 2015 Report Share Posted June 29, 2015 Wouldn't mind placing some bets for lols on some Wimbeldon matches.Looking at the offers, Ladbrokes are just doing a 'MegaMulti', looked at it and it's shit. If you put together the same mutli at sportsbet, yeah against standard odds the Ladbrokes MegaMulti is better, but sportsbet are doin g 20% bonus on multis and so you'd be better off doing the same multi at sportsbet, but of course you can do any multi you like at sportsbet so definitely the far superior offer.WH have cash back if your player wins the first set and then loses, not bad but I'm guessing that doesn't happen much does it?Crownbet have bonus bet if your multi loses by 1 leg, not bad would definitely take it up if it was cash back, but probably not for a bonus bet.Anything else on? Overall pretty average offers I think.Have a look at the tennis tipster page on twitter, usually have some decent trebles, multi's and doubles on offer Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HeartFc Posted June 29, 2015 Report Share Posted June 29, 2015 $200 on chile -1 goal @ $2.40$100 on Vidal to score anytime @ $3$100 on goal after 29th minute @ 2.03$100 on first booking to Chile @ 2.16Easy money. Good night. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaliMate Posted June 29, 2015 Author Report Share Posted June 29, 2015 $200 on chile -1 goal @ $2.40$100 on Vidal to score anytime @ $3$100 on goal after 29th minute @ 2.03$100 on first booking to Chile @ 2.16Easy money. Good night.is the to score after 29th the first goal only? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HeartFc Posted June 30, 2015 Report Share Posted June 30, 2015 First goal AFTER 29th minute. Which I just won. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HeartFc Posted June 30, 2015 Report Share Posted June 30, 2015 Vidal missing a golden chance with just the keeper to beat in the 91st minute just cost me $780. Lucky I've had a good torny otherwise the laptop would've gone through a wall. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaliMate Posted June 30, 2015 Author Report Share Posted June 30, 2015 $200 on chile -1 goal @ $2.40$100 on Vidal to score anytime @ $3$100 on goal after 29th minute @ 2.03$100 on first booking to Chile @ 2.16Easy money. Good night.Night. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tesla Posted June 30, 2015 Report Share Posted June 30, 2015 Today's megamulti from Ladbrokes is actually good, very unusual. $2.75 for Roger Federer, Andy Murray and Eugenie Bouchard all to win in straight sets. That's about a 30% boost, only 3 legs, and two are pretty likely to get up. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hedaik Posted June 30, 2015 Report Share Posted June 30, 2015 (edited) Today's megamulti from Ladbrokes is actually good, very unusual. $2.75 for Roger Federer, Andy Murray and Eugenie Bouchard all to win in straight sets. That's about a 30% boost, only 3 legs, and two are pretty likely to get up.You should take ubets special for Andy Murray as well, $3 for less than 27 games. Unfortunately I cant hedge it as everybody else is offering more than 27 games. Edited June 30, 2015 by hedaik Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaliMate Posted June 30, 2015 Author Report Share Posted June 30, 2015 Not my usual style but I put a 15 leg multi of all players under $1.10, only got $2.67 for it but 9 have won, got Karlovic, Wozniaki, Kerber, Seppi, Monfils & Halep left tonight. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tesla Posted June 30, 2015 Report Share Posted June 30, 2015 Today's megamulti from Ladbrokes is actually good, very unusual. $2.75 for Roger Federer, Andy Murray and Eugenie Bouchard all to win in straight sets. That's about a 30% boost, only 3 legs, and two are pretty likely to get up.You should take ubets special for Andy Murray as well, $3 for less than 27 games. Unfortunately I cant hedge it as everybody else is offering more than 27 games. Yeah seen that, it's 6-7pm so if I'm around at that time then I will get on it. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaliMate Posted June 30, 2015 Author Report Share Posted June 30, 2015 Cashed out when Karlovic went down 1-0 for -$0.70 of my stake. Regretted it when Karlovic won the next 2 sets. Woke up and saw Halep lost lol. Feels good. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tesla Posted July 1, 2015 Report Share Posted July 1, 2015 (edited) Won a 5 leg multi turning 25 into 57 lols. Also had a $40 multi at unibet and lost one leg cause I had Karlovic 3-0, but will get it refunded, ongoing unibet offer of one multi refunded a week if 1 leg fails Edited July 1, 2015 by Tesla 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tesla Posted July 1, 2015 Report Share Posted July 1, 2015 lol fucking unibet require you to either have funds deposited or have placed a bet in the last 24 hours to watch their streams. It's barely been 24 hours since my last bet and I can't watch their Wimbledon streams, get fucked. Obviously they don't want freeloaders but seriously they could make it the last week or at least like 72 hours or something, I bet with them all the time ffs. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GreenSeater Posted July 2, 2015 Report Share Posted July 2, 2015 (edited) Cheers to Laura Basset for her injury time own goal this morning to win my multi for me Edited July 2, 2015 by GreenSeater Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hedaik Posted July 3, 2015 Report Share Posted July 3, 2015 Pretty good week so far. Picked up two winners @ $3 from the greyhound daily deal and for the race I lost on for some reason I got a $50 bonus bet instead of $25. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hedaik Posted July 3, 2015 Report Share Posted July 3, 2015 So even with my no loss strategy I feel like Ive lost at times. Would have made a bit more more money if I hedged with Crownbet as the last 2 losing teams scored more than 80 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tesla Posted July 3, 2015 Report Share Posted July 3, 2015 (edited) So even with my no loss strategy I feel like Ive lost at times. You are losing by hedging, unless you're exploiting some promotion on both sides of the event. Eg, by hedging with Crownbet like you say.The reason you can make a profit arbitrating is because one side of the event is paying too much, on average you will profit from making that bet on the promotional market. But making the hedging bet, on average you will lose money on that hedging bet. So while you will never lose on a single event and be up slightly always doing an arbitrage, if you just bet on the promotional market, in the long run you'd be up by more. I hope that makes sense?Again, unless you're exploiting something on both sides of the market. Edited July 3, 2015 by Tesla Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thrillhouse Posted July 3, 2015 Report Share Posted July 3, 2015 Most times with the ladbrokes $2 fav you'll only get about $2-3 profit if you back bothBit better tonight with the pies being arounds 3.50, i went with pies 1-39 at 4.33 so i ended up with a bit over 10, not much to most of you but good for me Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tesla Posted July 3, 2015 Report Share Posted July 3, 2015 Most times with the ladbrokes $2 fav you'll only get about $2-3 profit if you back bothBit better tonight with the pies being arounds 3.50, i went with pies 1-39 at 4.33 so i ended up with a bit over 10, not much to most of you but good for meShould have backed the pies at WH, you would have got your stake refunded as they lost by less than 18 points. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tesla Posted July 3, 2015 Report Share Posted July 3, 2015 Interestingly Ladbrokes are doing best tote + 20% on the greyhounds tomorrow night at Wentworth Park. You never even get best tote on greyhounds, I guess because there is often a large gap between them due to low volume in the market. Don't know anything about this wentworth park meeting, but I'm guessing it's a bigger one that would have better volume and so the totes wont be so different from each other, but definitely sounds like there is some potential for some good winnings, worth having a look. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hedaik Posted July 3, 2015 Report Share Posted July 3, 2015 You are losing by hedging, unless you're exploiting some promotion on both sides of the event. Eg, by hedging with Crownbet like you say.The reason you can make a profit arbitrating is because one side of the event is paying too much, on average you will profit from making that bet on the promotional market. But making the hedging bet, on average you will lose money on that hedging bet. So while you will never lose on a single event and be up slightly always doing an arbitrage, if you just bet on the promotional market, in the long run you'd be up by more. I hope that makes sense?Again, unless you're exploiting something on both sides of the market.Eh? Only need enhanced odds from one side to make guaranteed coin or no risk. Im only making $5-$15 per event but its still netting me around $60 a week and also allows me to use up my bonus bets from the free daily greyhound betts from William Hill/CB/TW. As I got two winners from the dogs I'll be pocketing $150 this week risk free, Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hedaik Posted July 3, 2015 Report Share Posted July 3, 2015 Interestingly Ladbrokes are doing best tote + 20% on the greyhounds tomorrow night at Wentworth Park. You never even get best tote on greyhounds, I guess because there is often a large gap between them due to low volume in the market. Don't know anything about this wentworth park meeting, but I'm guessing it's a bigger one that would have better volume and so the totes wont be so different from each other, but definitely sounds like there is some potential for some good winnings, worth having a look.Wentworth Park is sponsored by Ladbrokes, they've been doing the tote+ promo for a little while now. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tesla Posted July 4, 2015 Report Share Posted July 4, 2015 Eh? Only need enhanced odds from one side to make guaranteed coin or no risk. Im only making $5-$15 per event but its still netting me around $60 a week and also allows me to use up my bonus bets from the free daily greyhound betts from William Hill/CB/TW. As I got two winners from the dogs I'll be pocketing $150 this week risk free, Yes, but what I'm saying is, if the enhanced oodds are only on one side, you'd be better off in the long run just betting on the enhanced odds and not hedging. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tesla Posted July 4, 2015 Report Share Posted July 4, 2015 Wentworth Park is sponsored by Ladbrokes, they've been doing the tote+ promo for a little while now. Come to think of it, I have seen them do it before, I just usually ignore it. But since betting on the dogs with the WH promo (fwiw I've also been going very well with that) I'm more interested in it now, especially after seeing how large the difference can be in the totes. WhiIe I'm here, shout out to the Bookmaker.com.au afl first goalscorer promo, paying out 2nd goal. Got on Jack Reiewoldt, easy 195$ return off $30. One from one, but I'm going to keep going and probably give it back lawl. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hedaik Posted July 4, 2015 Report Share Posted July 4, 2015 (edited) Yes, but what I'm saying is, if the enhanced oodds are only on one side, you'd be better off in the long run just betting on the enhanced odds and not hedging. probably, but it contains more risk then what I'm currently doing which I can't afford with the way we budget our spending money. Either way im making money and beating the bookies. Edited July 4, 2015 by hedaik Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tesla Posted July 4, 2015 Report Share Posted July 4, 2015 probably, but it contains more risk then what I'm currently doing which I can't afford with the way we budget our spending money. Yeah, I completely understand that. I'm just talking from a risk neutral point of view. But most people are risk adverse like you and would do the same. I'm just abnormal in that I'm fairly risk neutral and so I don't mind taking calculated risks and that's probably what accounts for most my success. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tesla Posted July 5, 2015 Report Share Posted July 5, 2015 (edited) WhiIe I'm here, shout out to the Bookmaker.com.au afl first goalscorer promo, paying out 2nd goal. Got on Jack Reiewoldt, easy 195$ return off $30. One from one, but I'm going to keep going and probably give it back lawl. Lost the rest of these until the last match, picked up another $225 thanks to Michael Walters. So ended with $270 off $30 deposit betting on first goal scorers. Interestingly Ladbrokes are doing best tote + 20% on the greyhounds tomorrow night at Wentworth Park. Lost the first couple of bets on this but then came back strongly, ended up $100 after 6 races before deciding to quit while I'm ahead but it was very hard to stop TBH, greyhounds easily the most addictive shit ffs. Up at least $300 for the weekend, not bad as I won back the $150 I lost last weekend during the week already. Edited July 5, 2015 by Tesla Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HeartFc Posted July 6, 2015 Report Share Posted July 6, 2015 Went from $650 down during the Copa America to up $50 thanks to Chile. Lesson learned. No more bets for a while. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sheepdog Posted July 7, 2015 Report Share Posted July 7, 2015 Geelong race 7. Miss famous. My brothers horse. Good form, due for a win. I got on it at $3.40 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sheepdog Posted July 7, 2015 Report Share Posted July 7, 2015 ^ ran 3rd.Shit brother, shit animal. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tesla Posted July 7, 2015 Report Share Posted July 7, 2015 Lucky I forgot to put a wager on itBut keep us updated with inside info Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sheepdog Posted July 7, 2015 Report Share Posted July 7, 2015 Lucky I forgot to put a wager on itBut keep us updated with inside info i believe you still owe me a couple of "tes' top picks"... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hedaik Posted July 7, 2015 Report Share Posted July 7, 2015 i believe you still owe me a couple of "tes' top picks"...Pretty sure Tes was charging $40 a week for those Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sheepdog Posted July 7, 2015 Report Share Posted July 7, 2015 Pretty sure Tes was charging $40 a week for thosemaybe for you... 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tesla Posted July 7, 2015 Report Share Posted July 7, 2015 Relax friends, will sort some good shit out for all of you, soon enough. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sheepdog Posted July 7, 2015 Report Share Posted July 7, 2015 Had hellas v Gully for the draw. Withstood the urge for Calhoun and fucking BANG! 92nd minute winner for south.Bittersweet Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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